What if the number of coronavirus cases in France was actually ten times higher than the figures delivered each evening by Jérôme Salomon,...
What if the number of coronavirus cases in France was actually ten times higher than the figures delivered each evening by Jérôme Salomon, the Director General of Health? MG France, the first general practitioners' union, published a statement on Thursday evaluating by extrapolation "to more than a million and a half people affected by the coronavirus between March 17 and April 3". These figures are taken from a union survey of 2,032 general practitioners. On April 3, they reassembled 56,033 patients "presenting a table compatible with the Covid-19". It is by extrapolating to the 60,000 general practitioners practicing in France that the figure of 1.5 million was obtained.
"These figures are consistent with the duration of the epidemic phase characterized by a high attack rate of Sars-Cov-2, higher than that of the influenza virus which affects in France between 2 and 6 million people each winter during the 6 at 7 weeks that the epidemic lasts ", writes MG France, which therefore underlines the impact of the epidemic on the population and the importance" the strong involvement of general practitioners in public health ". The Ministry of Health and Public Health France have always stressed that their data, based exclusively on the feedback from hospital establishments and recently on medico-social establishments of the Ehpad type, were incomplete. Jérôme Salomon does not fail to match them every night with the number of emergency admissions, use of an SOS doctor or serological tests carried out in town and often prescribed by general practitioners.
The numbers of the Ehpad are missing in the latest assessment
The latest statistics of the coronavirus in France were delivered by Jérôme Salomon this Wednesday, April 8. According to the Director-General of Health, the number of cases of Covid-19 detected by PCR has risen to 82,048 people infected since the start of the epidemic, i.e. 3,881 more in 24 hours. The daily toll in hospitals is again very heavy, with 541 additional deaths in 24 hours, a total of 7632 since the beginning of March. In total, 7,148 seriously ill patients are in intensive care, "an absolute record in France", a sign that the epidemic "is still very active" noted Jérôme Salomon.
The Ehpad data has not yet been reported at the time of writing. Jérôme Salomon mentioned "a technical problem" in the data entry. The figures presented below, in particular the total of almost 113,000 cases, are therefore incomplete. The situation is therefore difficult to grasp. The number of new cases and deaths drops drastically between Tuesday and Wednesday evening (-65 and -62%), but this is probably a sham that will be caught up as soon as the data from the medico-social establishments are brought up.
In the hospital, some signals still seem positive according to the latest figures, but they should be taken with great caution. Among the most crucial data, the number of resuscitations has certainly reached its record since the start of the epidemic. However, the balance of new resuscitations has never been lower with only 17 new admissions. But this figure is indeed a balance which takes into account the deaths that may have occurred and resuscitation discharges. If we take into account the new transfers in intensive care in "gross", there are 482 new serious cases that must be counted. A high figure this time, even if it is also slightly down compared to the previous day (518 new cases Tuesday evening, or 36 fewer entries Wednesday).
COMMENTS